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Comments on ‘A Method for Determining Whether Parameters in Aggregate Models are Structural’ by Michael Parkin.
The main focus of Philippe Weil’s paper is on the new U.S. budgetary treatment of direct loans and loan guarantees that began with the Credit Reform Act (CRA) of 1990. W er ‘1’ s analysis raises fun...
ECONOMIC POLICY in the 1980s may eventually become the most studied and hotly debated of any decade in United States history, even including the 1930s. Popular writings about the 1980s economy alr...
Comment on ‘America’s Peacetime Inflation: The 1970s’ by J. Bradford De Long.
This panel discussion focuses on two defining features of the new economy: (1) a change in trend productivity growth, and (2) a change in cyclical volatility. No one knows for sure how long either f...
The Bush administration’s emerging market strategy is an interrelated part of our overall international economic agenda. The agenda focuses on two goals: increasing economic growth and increasing e...
Although the current account deficit of the United States—and its mirror image the current account surplus of the rest of the world—had been increasing steadily through the 1990s, international econ...
Introduction     economic policy  inflation       < 2015/8/3
THE FEDERAL RESERVE is the single most important economic policy institution in the United States. This spring the two of us and the ten other authors of this book came together to present and to d...
We first document a large secular shift in the estimated response of the entire term structure of interest rates to inflation and output in the United States. The shift occurred in the early 1980s. W...
It has been more than three years since the economic crisis first flared up in August 2007, and the U.S. economy is still operating far below its potential. Unemployment is high at 9.8% (November 20...
In this paper we investigate the comparative properties of empirically-estimated monetary models of the U.S. economy. We make use of a new database of models designed for such investigations. We foc...
Because the ARRA grants to state and local government are fungible and not synchronized with purchases, determining the eff ect of ARRA on state and local government purchases is more diffi cult an...
Introduction     Economic growth  recession       < 2015/8/3
Economic growth during the recovery from the recession of –  has been remarkably slow—only . percent at an annual rate in the fi ...
The purpose of this paper is to present a general framework for electricity market design in Latin American Countries (LACs) that addresses the current problems facing electricity supply industrie...
Outline of Talk • US energy history – Consumption, production and pricing by fuels • Have fossil fuels become increasingly scarce? – Evidence from oil, natural gas, coal, and “near oil...

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